The truth about Northern Ireland’s borders after Brexit – passports and customs - and how demographic shifts will hugely alter political balance. Comment after keynote.

Future Trends, Economy, Markets, Keynote Speaker

29th September 2017

A lot of nonsense is talked about Brexit.  Here is the truth.

Sorting out all Brexit issues affecting the borders of Northern Ireland could take many years to fully resolve.  At the same time, the EU has made it clear that until a practical solution is agreed, even if such a solution is fine-tuned in future, discussions on a trade deal post-Brexit, will be on permanent hold.

There is a small chance that the entire Brexit process will be halted by a further vote in the UK, which could form part of an election manifesto commitment at the next election.  However this is becoming less likely at the moment, because opinion polls across the UK as a whole are more in favour of Brexit than when the original vote to leave took place.  (At the same time, paradoxically, opinion polls in other EU nations are becoming more positive about being part of the EU.)

For the purposes of this article, let us assume therefore that Brexit happens.

The EU has made absolutely 100% clear that they will not under any circumstances tolerate a breach anywhere in the EU wall controlling goods, services and movements of people across the border into the EU.  That is, unless

Read more: The truth about Northern Ireland’s borders after Brexit – passports and customs - and how demographic shifts will hugely alter political balance. Comment after keynote.

   

Truth about Mobile Payments, BitCoins, BlockChain and Cryptocurrencies - future of digital payments and future of banking FinTech. Why Telcos AND Retail Banks face major challenges - FinTech Keynote Speaker

Banks, Banking, Mobile Payments, FinTech, BitCoins

Video for Google on Digital Payments

I often give keynotes at banking conferences on mobile banking FinTech, digital payments - and BitCoins are often discussed.

For over two decades, many people have been trying to develop a digital alternative to physical bank notes – to pay for things online in a fast, easy, secure and totally anonymous, private way. Are BitCoins the answer?

Read more: Truth about Mobile Payments, BitCoins, BlockChain and Cryptocurrencies - future of digital payments and future of banking FinTech. Why Telcos AND Retail Banks face major challenges - FinTech Keynote Speaker

   

The truth about North Korea, President Trump, the real risk of war, and why options for the Pentagon and rest of world are so limited. What is likely to happen next.

Future Trends, Economy, Markets, Keynote Speaker

Despite all the hot words from President Trump and some of the absurd commentary in the media, here is the truth about North Korea’s rapid military direction and about the complete impotence of the rest of the world.  And all taking place at a time when there are more geopolitical risks globally than for 30 years.

The fact is, that as we see every day in the failed state of Zimbabwe, or Afghanistan or more recently in the chaos of Venezuela, or in Syria or Iraq, the most powerful military forces in the world can be humbled and humiliated by the resilience and complexity of the tiniest of nations, however chaotic or weak they may appear to be.

Read more: The truth about North Korea, President Trump, the real risk of war, and why options for the Pentagon and rest of world are so limited. What is likely to happen next.

   

The Truth about Brexit - part 2 - what is likely to happen next and why, real impact likely to be very different than most expect. Why a second vote on Brexit is still a real possibility.

Future Trends, Economy, Markets, Keynote Speaker

Update 4th September 2017

Before and shortly after the Brexit vote I correctly predicted that the UK economy would NOT go into immediate meltdown as so many had falsely forecast.  A lot of people are still talking a lot of nonsense.

Here is the truth about the current situation and what is likely to happen next:

Read more: The Truth about Brexit - part 2 - what is likely to happen next and why, real impact likely to be very different than most expect. Why a second vote on Brexit is still a real possibility.

   

Leadership Ethics in European Commission? BIG pressures revealed by participants - integrity and corruption? Watch disturbing results of secret e-polling during keynote - VIDEO

Leadership, Strategy, Business Ethics - Keynotes

What is ethical leadership? Leadership ethics and integrity in public life.

How do we encourage leadership integrity and fight corruption in leaders? At this session and afterwards, many participants confessed that they had been under significant pressure by bosses to do major things that they thought were unethical.

Keynote conference speaker Patrick Dixon -- lecture at European Commission.

Why leadership has to be based on trust, not just position, appealing to...

Read more: Leadership Ethics in European Commission? BIG pressures revealed by participants - integrity and corruption? Watch disturbing results of secret e-polling during keynote - VIDEO

   

Radical Future for Travel, Transport, Cars, Aviation, rail, shipping, handling Freight, Logistics and Supply Chains - keynote video and notes

Future of Travel Keynotes, Transport, Tourism

Future of the travel industry: major trends for HUPAC client event on intermodal transport. Integration of supply chains and logistics across road, rail, sea and aviation.  Lessons from leisure travel, hotels and hospitality industry. Impact of digital on global travel industry. Sustainable transport and improving energy efficiency in transport. Future of rail transport for freight. Future of freight tracking and real time reporting. Big data, Internet of Things and Cloud Computing - impact on transportation. Keynote conference speaker Patrick Dixon, author of The Future of Almost Everything - conference event for hundreds of HUPAC's premier clients.

Read more: Radical Future for Travel, Transport, Cars, Aviation, rail, shipping, handling Freight, Logistics and Supply Chains - keynote video and notes

   

How to Make Magic for Future Retail Customers in an omnichannel world where location is the most important fact you need to know about your customer

Future Marketing Keynotes, Mobile,Digital Consumer

Future of consumers:  how to make magic for tomorrow's customers.  Why so many technology innovations have failed e.g. Google Glass and the fact that all manufacturers of 3D TVs have stopped making them.  

How your brain is genetically programmed to detect digital life - as we see with embedded chips inside human and animal brains. Animals solving complex problems collaboratively at speed of light across large distances, using embedded brain chips. Yet most people don't want chips inside their brains. Why? Because to they feel uncomfortable about it.

Lesson: You can have the greatest innovation in the world but if it fails to connect with passion and emotion, it will be a huge flop, a commercial disaster.

Over and again we find that the very smallest things make the largest difference.  Consumers are driven by emotion, not just by facts about their products.  THat's why Little Data is often far more relevant than Big Data.

Read more: How to Make Magic for Future Retail Customers in an omnichannel world where location is the most important fact you need to know about your customer

   

Future of Industry 4.0, Manufacturing, Logistics and Supply Chain Management, managing risks, saving costs, seizing new markets - Futurist keynote video for IBEC manufacturing conference

Manufacturing, Logistics, Supply Chain Keynotes

Keynote on Future of Manufacturing and Industry 4.0 - for
IBEC. Topics covered include the 4th Industrial Revolution, managing uncertainty Future of Manufacturing 4.0; Digital Enterprises 4.0. Future of robotics. Future of 3D printing. Impact of online and mobile e-commerce on retail supply chains and customer expectations. Impact of global scale on manufacturing. Future of niche manufacturing, self-diagnosing and self-healing factory assembly lines. Why supply chains are becoming more regionalised.  Why radical changes are coming to manufacturing in China. Impact of digital tracking on manufacturing, and supply chain management.  Why Little Data is even more important than Big Data.  Truth about cyber-risks. Future of green tech innovation and green tech impact on every aspect of manufacturing.  Simple ways to cut more than 50% of road haulage energy use.

Read more: Future of Industry 4.0, Manufacturing, Logistics and Supply Chain Management, managing risks, saving costs, seizing new markets - Futurist keynote video for IBEC manufacturing conference

   

BIG pressures felt by European Commission senior staff members - revealed during keynote on leadership integrity. Watch results of anonymous e-polling during keynote - VIDEO

Government, Politics, Activists, Democracy, War

What is ethical leadership? Leadership ethics and integrity in public life. How do we encourage leadership integrity and fight corruption in leaders? At this session and afterwards, many participants confessed using e-polling that they had been under significant pressure by bosses to do major things that they thought were unethical. Keynote conference speaker Patrick Dixon -- lecture at European Commission. Why leadership has to be based on trust, not just position, appealing to...

Read more: BIG pressures felt by European Commission senior staff members - revealed during keynote on leadership integrity. Watch results of anonymous e-polling during keynote - VIDEO

   

Future of Insurance and Reinsurance - new risks, global trends keynote for MS Amlin by Futurist Patrick Dixon

Future of Insurance Industry / Risk - Keynotes

Insurance industry trends and future of reinsurance. Global trends, emerging markets, insurance industry regulation, future of banks and financial services. Corporate insurance and risk management. How to reduce risks in underwriting and importance of diversity. How to tackle institutional blindness and develop agile strategy, dynamic leadership to manage rapid change. Key issues for boards of every global insurer. Climate change risks, macroeconomic and geopolitical risks. Supply chain, logistics and manufacturing risks. Retail, e-commerce and cybersecurity risks. How risk profiles are changing and why risk management and corporate insurance requires multidimensional insights into what the future could be like.

Why many trends are changing more slowly than most analysts think, a reality check, and which trends are most likely to transform our global future. Why so many Futurist and economics forecasts have turned out to be so badly wrong. Lessons from Futurewise published in 1998 and why they remain so important today in trends forecasting for the next 20 years. See Patrick Dixon’s latest book The Future of Almost Everything - published by Profile Books. Patrick Dixon has been predicting major trends, risks and opportunity for global corporations for 20 years, with a track record of success that speaks for itself - see http://www.globalchange.com for hundreds of past predictions, matched against the reality of what actually happened, plus videos of hundreds of keynotes and articles on current issues and events, as well as what they mean for your business, personal life and wider world.

Read more: Future of Insurance and Reinsurance - new risks, global trends keynote for MS Amlin by Futurist Patrick Dixon

   

Why Trump Won - how tribalism will dominate the future of democracy: and why President Trump will struggle to deliver

Government, Politics, Activists, Democracy, War

Reasons for the US election victory of Donald Trump will be debated for decades. Here are major long-term factors at work across America and in every other democratic nation, which I described in The Future of Almost Everything - my latest book, see below, (with additions in italics today).  These set the backdrop for dramatic events over the last few hours (9 November 2016), and also influenced the Brexit vote.  Read on for"  What happens when faith in ideologies and parties dies; why tribalism is the most powerful force in the world today; why President Trump will struggle to deliver.

Read more: Why Trump Won - how tribalism will dominate the future of democracy: and why President Trump will struggle to deliver

   

Why print media still has a future - truth about books, newspapers, magazines and print advertising - why the paperless office is such a last-century idea

Media, Video, TV, Radio, Print, Keynote Speaker

Future of Print Media and Quality Print AdvertisingThe truth about print media - winners and loses in the intense fight for attention, in a mobile-enabled world where different types of print media will continue to have a powerful and enduring role in many nations.  And why print media still benefits from an important and poorly understood biological advantage...

Most debates in board rooms about the future are not about trends which are usually obvious, but rather about speed and precise timing. For example, despite many predictions of the cashless society, this year more paper money is in circulation across Europe than ever before.

And while similar predictions have been made about the paperless office, the fact is that more paper is printed each day per manager than ever before in most corporations. Paperless offices are such a last-century idea.  92% of executives print things each day, 45% print 10 pages or more and 15% print more than 50.  As I predicted years ago, paper will be with us for a long time yet, for reasons I explain below. 


The main reason is speed and efficiency - the more senior the leader, the more valuable their time, the more they are likely to need printed material to read or refer to. Board papers or legal documents are two important examples.

Read more: Why print media still has a future - truth about books, newspapers, magazines and print advertising - why the paperless office is such a last-century idea

   

How to feed 11 billion people - future of the food industry. Why there will be plenty of food to feed everyone if we tackle supply chain and retail waste, and improve efficiency in farming. Food industry trends keynote speaker

Future of Retail Keynotes: Food, Drink, Malls, Web

Today, we grow enough food to feed 9 billion people, and in future we should easily be able to feed 11 billion. We waste well over 40 per cent of the food we grow, worth USD3 trillion – in fields, storehouses, factories, warehouses, shops and rubbish bins.

We will see more genetically modified crops in many regions, with crops resistant to disease, drought, and able to grow in salty soil. Genetically modified animals will also be widely consumed in over 30 per cent of the world by 2040.

Expect a rise in the proportion of global grain production used to feed animals to more than 45 per cent beyond 2025. Already more than 70 per cent of grain produced by wealthy nations is fed to livestock. There are absolute limits on the availability of suitable land. Therefore, the price of farmland is likely to rise in many nations over the next 20 years.

Read more: How to feed 11 billion people - future of the food industry. Why there will be plenty of food to feed everyone if we tackle supply chain and retail waste, and improve efficiency in farming. Food industry trends keynote speaker

   

Life after Brexit: why I was right about immediate impact of the Brexit vote and what next. Why Brexit impact on trade, services, visas, banks and retail sales will be less than many fear

Future Trends, Economy, Markets, Keynote Speaker

Why I was right about immediate impact of the Brexit vote– and what next. We continue to hear toxic nonsense about life after Brexit.  Here is the truth: As I predicted, the impact of Brexit has been slight so far – despite some market turbulence to start with. Most analysts have had to eat their words, together with many political leaders, the IMF and a host of global CEOs – after being proven so spectacularly wrong. Despite constant warnings before and after the vote of instant economic meltdown, chaos, immediate recession, national and EU crisis, we have seen the exact opposite.

Read more: Life after Brexit: why I was right about immediate impact of the Brexit vote and what next. Why Brexit impact on trade, services, visas, banks and retail sales will be less than many fear

   

How to double size of your business in 10 seconds - Future of retail, customers and future of Law Firms - Futurist Speaker - VIDEO

Law Firms, Accountancy, Professional Services

Clip from Patrick Dixon's Futurist keynote to leading law firms at Netlaw Media conference. Time is money - consumers are becoming increasingly impatient. 10 seconds can cost you 80% of new business. Put yourself in your clients' shoes - would you be frustrated with your service? There is a difference between the service you think you are providing and the reality of the quality of your service. Understanding your clients, and how they feel...

Read more: How to double size of your business in 10 seconds - Future of retail, customers and future of Law Firms - Futurist Speaker - VIDEO

   

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