Future of Russia - comments on Moscow trip: economy, innovation, business, culture, volunteering, Russian history, foreign policy, military spending and global influence. Why media forecasts on Russia are often so wrong, and why travel is so important

Future of Emerging Markets, China, India - Speaker

Comments after recent trip to Moscow, after giving keynote on digital innovation at a big event. Russia is a vibrant nation, with many contrasts across 11 time zones. Nation is being energised by a new generation of highly talented entrepreneurs who have no memory of life under Communism, and who are very similar in many ways in their attitudes to the same generation in Western Europe. Media coverage in Western nations can be very misleading and superficial. There's no substitute for actually visiting a nation, talking to people. Impact of recent events on Russia economy, innovation, business, foreign policy or military spending. Government stimulus of the Russian economy - why this will be difficult to achieve rapidly. Why history is so important in understanding future of Russia, including the impact of the Second World War on Russian psyche, and of course the fall of the Iron Curtain.

Read more: Future of Russia - comments on Moscow trip: economy, innovation, business, culture, volunteering, Russian history, foreign policy, military spending and global influence. Why media forecasts on Russia are often so wrong, and why travel is so important

   

10 Truths about Brexit - cut through the media nonsense and political posturing. Why longer term impact will be less than many think. How border issues between UK and Ireland will be resolved - in event of a No Deal Brexit

Manufacturing, Logistics, Supply Chain Keynotes

Many of my previous predictions have turned out to be correct as of September 2018: for example no immediate economic meltdown, fall in currency leads to rise in exports and so on.  

Here is a common sense view of what is likely to happen in the event that the EU and UK fail to achieve an agreement before the UK leaves the EU.  

1. The pound will fall further against the Euro

This will make all exports of goods and services even more affordable for other nations to buy, and will make imports even more expensive.  If the pound falls a further 10% post Brexit, then the total fall since the vote to leave will be 25%.

2. EU import taxes will be almost irrelevant to UK exports

Let us take an average tax of 5% on any UK goods imported into the EU from the UK, and the other way round.  How much impact would that actually have when you take the new exchange rate into account?

British goods will be net 20% cheaper for French or German people to buy than before.  That's huge by any measure.

French and German goods will be net 30% more expensive for British people to buy.  Even more significant.

Net impact: far greater on companies exporting to the UK.  In any case, the rest of the world takes more UK goods than the EU, and the EU is rapidly falling as an export destination.

Read more: 10 Truths about Brexit - cut through the media nonsense and political posturing. Why longer term impact will be less than many think. How border issues between UK and Ireland will be resolved - in event of a No Deal Brexit

   

How to spot the best investment and business opportunities. Learn secrets of a professional Futurist with 25 year track record, advising over 400 global companies on major trends and innovation - 20 part, 5 week video course

Leadership, Strategy, Business Ethics - Keynotes

I've put together a 20 part, 5 week online course for business leaders and managers.

Lessons I have learned over the last 30 years, researching global trends.

I've worked with over 400 of the world's largest corporations, often sharing platforms with their CEOs at their most important global events.

You can have the greatest strategy ever known, but if the world changes in directions you do not expect, you will simply end up going even faster in the wrong direction.

Here are 20 secrets of all world-class Futurist - just about everything you need to become an expert forecaster, all packed into one 5 week programme.

How to read the signs of the times, and apply them to specific industries in a reliable way.

How to make sense of media overload, and make sensible forecasts for the next 5-10 years.

How to be a professional Futurist or trends analyst.

How to avoid common errors when making predictions.

Why most debates on the future are about timing, not the trends themselves.

You may be in marketing, management, banking, insurance, manufacturing, retail or health care - discover common principles for making sense of your future.

And the greatest test for you of all is this: do the course, start making some predictions to yourself about what you think is ahead, and benchmark yourself against what actually develops.

You will rapidly begin to see areas where you are starting to score high and areas you need to work on.

Take a look at my Future Secrets Course.

Read more: How to spot the best investment and business opportunities. Learn secrets of a professional Futurist with 25 year track record, advising over 400 global companies on major trends and innovation - 20 part, 5 week video course

   

Why future rail travel will grow fast. Future of Intermodal Transport, passenger travel, rail freight, hyperloop, manufacturing, logistics and supply chains. Future of high speed rail

Future of Travel Keynotes, Transport, Tourism

Future of rail for passengers and freight - transport keynote and article by Patrick Dixon, Futurist for HUPAC, a Swiss rail company.

Why rail transport has such an important future - saving time, costs and energy. Future patterns of passenger rail traffic, freight traffic, intercontinental transport, trams, light rail, container freight, intermodal transport (switching from truck to rail to shipping and so on), and hyperloop travel.  Rail trends have to be seen in wider context of demographic shifts, emerging markets, digital revolution, e-commerce, changes in patterns of globalisation and global trade.  New patterns of migration, manufacturing, management.  Why more will be spent on road / rail infrastructure in the next 30 years than in all of human history.

Impact of rail innovation on logistics and supply chains - including next-generation tracking, signalling, systems and controls.

Read more: Why future rail travel will grow fast. Future of Intermodal Transport, passenger travel, rail freight, hyperloop, manufacturing, logistics and supply chains. Future of high speed rail

   

Future of Retail: $5 trillion global e-commerce sales by 2025. Impact on malls and traditional retail. How to create MAGIC. Interview with Fortune Magazine (Greece), and video of futurist keynote on retail trends in Greece and globally

Future of Retail Keynotes: Food, Drink, Malls, Web

Interview for Fortune Magazine (Greece) 21 February 2019 - Patrick Dixon gave a keynote on retail trends for Lamda Developments in Athens.

In many EU nations, 70% of all retail spending is already in just four or five retail chains, and across the EU as a whole, 50% of all food sales take place in just ten chains. National price wars will become regional price wars. Sales by chains in the EU will continue to grow fast – 25% growth over the last 14 years, but their retail floor space has grown at twice that rate, so their productivity has fallen

Global e-commerce sales will be $5 trillion by 2025, from more than $2.6 trillion in 2018, mostly on mobile devices. Amazon is now the world’s third largest retailer after companies like Wal-Mart, Carrefour and Tesco, with $232bn of sales a year.  Over 30% of all UK shopping apart from groceries is already online, growing at 10% a year, mostly via mobiles. E-commerce is growing at 30% a year in Asia. These are pointers to the future of Greek retail. In Greece, EU5bn is already spent online, mainly on shoes, clothes and electronic devices - over 3% of the entire economy, and 25% of this is bought on smartphones. 

Read more: Future of Retail: $5 trillion global e-commerce sales by 2025. Impact on malls and traditional retail. How to create MAGIC. Interview with Fortune Magazine (Greece), and video of futurist keynote on retail trends in Greece and globally

   

Give it all away! Future of Private Banking is Philanthropy. 10 Reasons for boom in Philanthropic advisory services for wealthy clients. Impact on wealth advisors, Family Offices and Fund Management

Banks, Banking, Mobile Payments, FinTech, BitCoins

Future of Private Banking is Philanthropy. Reasons for boom in Philanthropic advisory services for wealthy clients. Impact on wealth advisors, Family Offices andFund Management

50% of global wealth is owned by 1% and within 30 years that is likely to rise to 65% or more.  The number of dollar billionaires is growing rapidly every year.  The richest 80 people on earth own as much wealth as the poorest 3.4 billion people. Over 1,600 billionaires and their families own between them $6.4 trillion – which is more than the combined income of the poorest 120 countries in the world. And in the layer below that are a further 250,000 Ultra-High Net Worth individuals (UNHWs). So what is going to happen to all this wealth?  The answer is that a huge proportion will be given away.  Why?

I have been advising many of the largest Private Banks in the world and large Investment Funds for over 20 years.  I have also worked with many of the world’s wealthiest entrepreneurs and Family Offices. For 20 years now I have been saying that Philanthropic advisory services will be at the heart of Private Banking and wealth management, for the next few decades. The reasons are simple....

Read more: Give it all away! Future of Private Banking is Philanthropy. 10 Reasons for boom in Philanthropic advisory services for wealthy clients. Impact on wealth advisors, Family Offices and Fund Management

   

1.5 million have now watched my green tech Webinar - solar, wind, wave and bio energy. Keynote: How green tech innovation will save the world, and turn energy markets upside down, despite lack of global treaties - keynote at Enel Power event

Future GreenTech, Sustainability Keynote Speaker

My keynote starts 42 minutes into the video

In December 2018, I gave a keynote via Webinar for Enel Power. They say it was watched live by over 800,000, and by January 2019, it had over 1.3m views on just one platform alone. The audience was 25 global influencers from every part of the world, all with popular blogs / followings on green tech and alternative energy. A massive global social media campaign took place in the run up to the Webinar.  Here are the key messages....

Read more: 1.5 million have now watched my green tech Webinar - solar, wind, wave and bio energy. Keynote: How green tech innovation will save the world, and turn energy markets upside down, despite lack of global treaties - keynote at Enel Power event

   

Why college education is in such a mess - reasons why so many students are fed up. How to transform university learning at almost zero cost. Truth about Future Impact of IT on College Education - digital learning, student experience - keynote speaker

Future of Education, School, Universities, Keynote

Despite 20 years of digital hype in education, the shocking truth is that classroom experience for most College students has changed relatively little, compared to - say - the explosive growth of smartphone use, social media, e-commerce and video streaming for entertainment. So what of the future? 60% of 18-34 years olds across America no longer think that 4 year courses are worth the money. US Higher Education institutions have seen 6 straight years of falling enrolment. The key is understanding how to create real "magic" for students, rather than just delivering yet another digital learning platform, or IT solution or administrative tool. The really great news is that the greatest educational IT "magic" can be delivered at almost zero cost, at astonishing speed, compared to most College IT projects. You can have the smartest Campus in the world, with multiple interactive learning tools, virtual classrooms, collaborative platforms, AI-enhanced automated coaching, and so on, yet miss the greatest lessons of all...

Read more: Why college education is in such a mess - reasons why so many students are fed up. How to transform university learning at almost zero cost. Truth about Future Impact of IT on College Education - digital learning, student experience - keynote speaker

   

What will be President Trump's longer term impact on America, global politics, news reporting, future of democracy itself. Why he fits many predictions I made and what is likely to happen next to political leadership globally

Government, Politics, Activists, Democracy, War

President Trump is very typical of a new generation of "single-issues politicians", rising up around the world as I predicted years ago

He thrives on the elusive powers of 24 hours a day media-streaming of his thoughts and feelings, taps into populist emotions, connects with the passions of ordinary people, expresses very well their fears for their own future, as well as their dreams for their own children.

A part of this has been the powerful slogan: "Make America Great Again", which feeds into deep unease about the declining role, influence and economic powers of America as a proportion of the whole world.  This in turn is being driven by the very long term, irresistible and relentless rise in emerging nations, where 85% of humanity already live.

Leaving aside whatever you may feel about President Trump's official, longer term policies, the truth is that his day to day communications and actions are massively different from what is normally expected in developed nations of their own Presidents or Prime Ministers, and are much more typical in some ways of patterns that we tend to see amongst semi-dictators in emerging markets....

Read more: What will be President Trump's longer term impact on America, global politics, news reporting, future of democracy itself. Why he fits many predictions I made and what is likely to happen next to political leadership globally

   

How to predict life in the year 2100. New edition of The Future of Almost Everything book coming soon. Keys to very long term trends based on my Futurist keynotes for 400 large corporations over 25 years

Leadership, Strategy, Business Ethics - Keynotes

My job is to live in the future and to see tomorrow as history.

I'm working on a new edition of The Future of Almost Everything book - which will contain a chapter on life in 2100, looking at key trends for the next 20 years, in the light of what happened from 2090 to 2100...

Forecasting 80 years ahead might seem an impossible thing to do.

So what happens if you live for a while in 2100 and return to tell the story, to make comparisons?  In what ways are you most "culture shocked" and why?

It is easy to assume that life will continue to change at frenetic pace, and that many things will be almost unrecognisable by 2100, but will that really turn out to be true?

Winston Churchill once said that if you want to understand the future, look at history.

80 years ago, in 1948 was in many ways a very different world - with rapid reconstruction in Europe after the Second World War. Yet more things have endured than we might think....

Read more: How to predict life in the year 2100. New edition of The Future of Almost Everything book coming soon. Keys to very long term trends based on my Futurist keynotes for 400 large corporations over 25 years

   

Future of Digital Marketing - make magic for customers: video and notes of entire Futurist keynote at Google premier event: mobile marketing, social marketing, YouTube / viral marketing, mobile banking and retail for 350 Google Digital Marketing Partners

Future Marketing Keynotes, Mobile,Digital Consumer

Watch entire keynote on future of digital marketing - at Google premier marketing event - Google Accelerate. How to create magic for your customers using social media marketing and mobile marketing. Future of pay-per-click advertising, and mobile marketing campaigns and digital marketing. Discover the greatest secrets of all successful mobile marketing, social marketing trends, how to make money using Big Data and why Little Data matters most in targeting customers. How to use live data analytics to sharpen digital marketing and social media campaigns. Why social marketing can freak out your customers. The end of traditional marketing – transition to a personal advisor along the journey of life. Over 67,000 companies globally sell themselves as digital marketing experts but only 350 across the whole of Europe, Middle East and Africa are fully accredited as Google Digital Partners - and most of these global experts were in my audience. 

Read more: Future of Digital Marketing - make magic for customers: video and notes of entire Futurist keynote at Google premier event: mobile marketing, social marketing, YouTube / viral marketing, mobile banking and retail for 350 Google Digital Marketing Partners

   

AGILE Retail - how to stay ahead your digital customers! Future Retail - global trends and impact on customer decisions, retail marketing, retail supply chains

Future of Retail Keynotes: Food, Drink, Malls, Web

How to create magic for customers with Agile Leadership, Agile processes and Agile Innovation. Patrick Dixon, keynote speaker, at the Agile Business Conference. Seizing opportunities and managing risks. How to guard against institutional blindness. Key global trends impacting the economy, demographics, tribal marketing, global supply chains and increasing scale in retailing as well as future of manufacturing. Future of marketing, management and motivation. Big Data and Little Data - impact on retailing. Location-triggered marketing. Impact of sustainability and ethical issues on retail and consumer decisions.

Read more: AGILE Retail - how to stay ahead your digital customers! Future Retail - global trends and impact on customer decisions, retail marketing, retail supply chains

   

Future of Artificial Intelligence. How AI will change jobs, manufacturing and health. Impact of AI on marketing, investment, banking, insurance, politics, government, warfare, consumer choices and how people think. Artificial Intelligence Keynote Speaker

Technology Speaker, AI, Big Data, Robotics, Cyber

Artificial Intelligence is about a world dominated by smart machines, more intelligent than humans, becoming more powerful every day. But how will that AI power be used? Is AI a force for good or for evil?  Will robots ever achieve full human consciousness, or "real" intelligence, or will they just remain smart machines?

Will Artificial Intelligence create massive unemployment, combined with Robotics? Will society become controlled by AI systems?

Here is the truth in a lengthy feature about Artificial Intelligence in the auto industry, health care AI, warfare AI, impact of AI on banking, investments, insurance, retail, surveillance and security, workplace and so on. This is based on keynotes on the future of Artificial Intelligence and related issues, across the world.

Read more: Future of Artificial Intelligence. How AI will change jobs, manufacturing and health. Impact of AI on marketing, investment, banking, insurance, politics, government, warfare, consumer choices and how people think. Artificial Intelligence Keynote Speaker

   

Future Manufacturing 4.0: personal guided tour of Toyota factory assembly line by Futurist Patrick Dixon - innovation, robotics, AI, Big Data, just-in-time, ultra lean efficiency - manufacturing / Industry 4.0 keynote speaker

Manufacturing, Logistics, Supply Chain Keynotes

Manufacturing innovation trends - how manufacturing is changing. Lessons from Toyota assembly lines for fork lift trucks. How to optimise factory production with just-in-time and hundreds of small enhancements with huge total impact, using predictive analytics and Big Data. How to harness human genius in the workforce to make things faster and more reliably. Key manufacturing trends presented by Futurist keynote speaker Patrick Dixon - tour of Toyota factory site in Mjölby, Sweden.

Read more: Future Manufacturing 4.0: personal guided tour of Toyota factory assembly line by Futurist Patrick Dixon - innovation, robotics, AI, Big Data, just-in-time, ultra lean efficiency - manufacturing / Industry 4.0 keynote speaker

   

Take hold of your destiny - multimedia tour through outer space and into every human cell. Reasons for faith by a Futurist, scientist and physician. Session for 3500 young people in Auckland, SHOUT event, part of ACTS global church movement - July 2019

Spirituality, World Religion, Christianity, Church

Video of message by Dr Patrick Dixon for 3500 people at SHOUT 2018 in Auckland, New Zealand, organised by ACTS.  Key global trends - what they mean for churches, for those who have faith, for business, governments and our wider world.

Take a multimedia tour across outer space, through galaxies and then right into the atoms of every cell in your own body to discover the mystery of life and of human existence. Why an assumption that God exists is a highly logical conclusion - personal faith journey of a Futurist who is also a scientist and a physician. What it all means for you and your ultimate destiny.

Read more: Take hold of your destiny - multimedia tour through outer space and into every human cell. Reasons for faith by a Futurist, scientist and physician. Session for 3500 young people in Auckland, SHOUT event, part of ACTS global church movement - July 2019

   

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