$5 trillion global e-commerce sales by 2025 - expect growth of 30% a year in Asia. Impact of online sales on future of retail and malls - Interview with Fortune Magazine (Greece) before keynote on retail trends.

Interview for Fortune Magazine (Greece) 21 February 2019 - Patrick Dixon gave a keynote on retail trends for Lamda Developments in Athens.

In many EU nations, 70% of all retail spending is already in just four or five retail chains, and across the EU as a whole, 50% of all food sales take place in just ten chains. National price wars will become regional price wars. Sales by chains in the EU will continue to grow fast – 25% growth over the last 14 years, but their retail floor space has grown at twice that rate, so their productivity has fallen

Global e-commerce sales will be $5 trillion by 2025, from more than $2.6 trillion in 2018, mostly on mobile devices. Amazon is now the world’s third largest retailer after companies like Wal-Mart, Carrefour and Tesco, with $232bn of sales a year.  Over 30% of all UK shopping apart from groceries is already online, growing at 10% a year, mostly via mobiles. E-commerce is growing at 30% a year in Asia. These are pointers to the future of Greek retail. In Greece, EU5bn is already spent online, mainly on shoes, clothes and electronic devices - over 3% of the entire economy, and 25% of this is bought on smartphones. 

Read more: $5 trillion global e-commerce sales by 2025 - expect growth of 30% a year in Asia. Impact of online sales on future of retail and malls - Interview with Fortune Magazine (Greece) before keynote on retail trends.

 

Give it all away! Future of Private Banking is Philanthropy. 10 Reasons for boom in Philanthropic advisory services for wealthy clients. Impact on wealth advisors, Family Offices and Fund Management

Future of Private Banking is Philanthropy. Reasons for boom in Philanthropic advisory services for wealthy clients. Impact on wealth advisors, Family Offices andFund Management

50% of global wealth is owned by 1% and within 30 years that is likely to rise to 65% or more.  The number of dollar billionaires is growing rapidly every year.  The richest 80 people on earth own as much wealth as the poorest 3.4 billion people. Over 1,600 billionaires and their families own between them $6.4 trillion – which is more than the combined income of the poorest 120 countries in the world. And in the layer below that are a further 250,000 Ultra-High Net Worth individuals (UNHWs). So what is going to happen to all this wealth?  The answer is that a huge proportion will be given away.  Why?

I have been advising many of the largest Private Banks in the world and large Investment Funds for over 20 years.  I have also worked with many of the world’s wealthiest entrepreneurs and Family Offices. For 20 years now I have been saying that Philanthropic advisory services will be at the heart of Private Banking and wealth management, for the next few decades. The reasons are simple....

Read more: Give it all away! Future of Private Banking is Philanthropy. 10 Reasons for boom in Philanthropic advisory services for wealthy clients. Impact on wealth advisors, Family Offices and Fund Management

   

World-class corporate events and education - what does it all look like? Keynote speaker

Patrick Dixon, Futurist keynote speaker, talking about what makes a superb, world-class venue for corporate events, giving keynotes, and creating great...

Read more: World-class corporate events and education - what does it all look like? Keynote speaker

   

1.5 million have now watched my green tech Webinar - solar, wind, wave and bio energy. Keynote: How green tech innovation will save the world, and turn energy markets upside down, despite lack of global treaties - keynote at Enel Power event

My keynote starts 42 minutes into the video

In December 2018, I gave a keynote via Webinar for Enel Power. They say it was watched live by over 800,000, and by January 2019, it had over 1.3m views on just one platform alone. The audience was 25 global influencers from every part of the world, all with popular blogs / followings on green tech and alternative energy. A massive global social media campaign took place in the run up to the Webinar.  Here are the key messages....

Read more: 1.5 million have now watched my green tech Webinar - solar, wind, wave and bio energy. Keynote: How green tech innovation will save the world, and turn energy markets upside down, despite lack of global treaties - keynote at Enel Power event

   

Why college education is in such a mess - reasons why so many students are fed up. How to transform university learning at almost zero cost. Truth about Future Impact of IT on College Education - digital learning, student experience - keynote speaker

Despite 20 years of digital hype in education, the shocking truth is that classroom experience for most College students has changed relatively little, compared to - say - the explosive growth of smartphone use, social media, e-commerce and video streaming for entertainment. So what of the future? 60% of 18-34 years olds across America no longer think that 4 year courses are worth the money. US Higher Education institutions have seen 6 straight years of falling enrolment. The key is understanding how to create real "magic" for students, rather than just delivering yet another digital learning platform, or IT solution or administrative tool. The really great news is that the greatest educational IT "magic" can be delivered at almost zero cost, at astonishing speed, compared to most College IT projects. You can have the smartest Campus in the world, with multiple interactive learning tools, virtual classrooms, collaborative platforms, AI-enhanced automated coaching, and so on, yet miss the greatest lessons of all...

Read more: Why college education is in such a mess - reasons why so many students are fed up. How to transform university learning at almost zero cost. Truth about Future Impact of IT on College Education - digital learning, student experience - keynote speaker

   

10 Truths about Brexit - including the border between UK and Ireland - in event of a No Deal Brexit

Many of my previous predictions have turned out to be correct as of September 2018: for example no immediate economic meltdown, fall in currency leads to rise in exports and so on.  

Here is a common sense view of what is likely to happen in the event that the EU and UK fail to achieve an agreement before the UK leaves the EU.  

1. The pound will fall further against the Euro

This will make all exports of goods and services even more affordable for other nations to buy, and will make imports even more expensive.  If the pound falls a further 10% post Brexit, then the total fall since the vote to leave will be 25%.

2. EU import taxes will be almost irrelevant to UK exports

Let us take an average tax of 5% on any UK goods imported into the EU from the UK, and the other way round.  How much impact would that actually have when you take the new exchange rate into account?

British goods will be net 20% cheaper for French or German people to buy than before.  That's huge by any measure.

French and German goods will be net 30% more expensive for British people to buy.  Even more significant.

Net impact: far greater on companies exporting to the UK.  In any case, the rest of the world takes more UK goods than the EU, and the EU is rapidly falling as an export destination.

Read more: 10 Truths about Brexit - including the border between UK and Ireland - in event of a No Deal Brexit

   

What will be President Trump's longer term impact on America, global politics, news reporting, future of democracy itself. Why he fits many predictions I made and what is likely to happen next to political leadership globally

President Trump is very typical of a new generation of "single-issues politicians", rising up around the world as I predicted years ago

He thrives on the elusive powers of 24 hours a day media-streaming of his thoughts and feelings, taps into populist emotions, connects with the passions of ordinary people, expresses very well their fears for their own future, as well as their dreams for their own children.

A part of this has been the powerful slogan: "Make America Great Again", which feeds into deep unease about the declining role, influence and economic powers of America as a proportion of the whole world.  This in turn is being driven by the very long term, irresistible and relentless rise in emerging nations, where 85% of humanity already live.

Leaving aside whatever you may feel about President Trump's official, longer term policies, the truth is that his day to day communications and actions are massively different from what is normally expected in developed nations of their own Presidents or Prime Ministers, and are much more typical in some ways of patterns that we tend to see amongst semi-dictators in emerging markets....

Read more: What will be President Trump's longer term impact on America, global politics, news reporting, future of democracy itself. Why he fits many predictions I made and what is likely to happen next to political leadership globally

   

How to predict life in the year 2100. New edition of The Future of Almost Everything book coming soon. Keys to very long term trends based on my Futurist keynotes for 400 large corporations over 25 years

My job is to live in the future and to see tomorrow as history.

I'm working on a new edition of The Future of Almost Everything book - which will contain a chapter on life in 2100, looking at key trends for the next 20 years, in the light of what happened from 2090 to 2100...

Forecasting 80 years ahead might seem an impossible thing to do.

So what happens if you live for a while in 2100 and return to tell the story, to make comparisons?  In what ways are you most "culture shocked" and why?

It is easy to assume that life will continue to change at frenetic pace, and that many things will be almost unrecognisable by 2100, but will that really turn out to be true?

Winston Churchill once said that if you want to understand the future, look at history.

80 years ago, in 1948 was in many ways a very different world - with rapid reconstruction in Europe after the Second World War. Yet more things have endured than we might think....

Read more: How to predict life in the year 2100. New edition of The Future of Almost Everything book coming soon. Keys to very long term trends based on my Futurist keynotes for 400 large corporations over 25 years

   

AGILE Retail - how to stay ahead your digital customers! Future Retail - global trends and impact on customer decisions, retail marketing, retail supply chains

How to create magic for customers with Agile Leadership, Agile processes and Agile Innovation. Patrick Dixon, keynote speaker, at the Agile Business Conference. Seizing opportunities and managing risks. How to guard against institutional blindness. Key global trends impacting the economy, demographics, tribal marketing, global supply chains and increasing scale in retailing as well as future of manufacturing. Future of marketing, management and motivation. Big Data and Little Data - impact on retailing. Location-triggered marketing. Impact of sustainability and ethical issues on retail and consumer decisions.

Read more: AGILE Retail - how to stay ahead your digital customers! Future Retail - global trends and impact on customer decisions, retail marketing, retail supply chains

   

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